After reading an article, “The Printed World”, in the February 12th issue of The Economist, I was taken back at the possibility of a new world of innovation where it will be just as cheap to produce single items as it is to make thousands of items and therefore, undermine the whole concept of economies of scale and how businesses bring products to the market.
3D printing or additive manufacturing, as it is also called, is a technology that will change society so profoundly it defies the imagination. Think of a world where products being made no longer have go through the start-up steps or costs to be manufactured, where anyone with an imagination can bring a product to reality and manufacture 10 units to determine if there is a demand for the product. No molds or lathes required, just a computer and a 3D printer. Inventors and start-ups will thrive, as never before seen in the history of man because making and trying new products will become less risky and expensive.
For example, under today’s standards of manufacturing, to make a plastic part you need to create the mold. To make a completed product several molds may need to be made before the product is ever completed and brought to market. To offset the fixed costs required to make the molds, assemble and deliver the product to market, a product must be mass produced and sold by the thousands, thus creating the economies of scale. With additive manufacturing or 3D printing, you pull up the blueprint on your computer screen, make the necessary changes to the shape and color and then press print. A machine or 3D printer builds the product by progressively adding on material, one layer at a time. No molds or factories are required.
Today, most 3D printers are used primarily to build prototypes and then current manufacturing techniques such as molds and reduction machining are used to build the final products. Currently, only 20% of the output of 3D printers are used to build the final products. However, by 2020 it is estimated final products produced by the 3D printers will grow to 50%. In 50 years, it is possible that complete planes, trains and automobiles and anything else you can imagine will be made entirely from 3D printers.
The other great thing about 3D printing is it not just limited to consumer products. 3D printing has already progressed into the areas of human health. In the future, it may be standard practice to print replacement parts for the human body from layers of human cells. A company called Organovo apparently has already managed to make blood vessels and cardiac tissue via a printer that dispenses cells instead of ink.
From an insurance point of view, there are going to be some monumental hurdles to be cleared. How does a business protect it’s intellectual property rights, if anyone with a 3D printer can make an exact replica of their product almost immediately after it has hit the market? Because products can be duplicated so quickly, will this cause businesses to push to get products to market quicker; therefore, forgoing valuable testing to make sure the products are safe for the consumers? How will the patent offices keep up all the new products? And will a businesses want to submit their products to be patented because of the risk of notifying potential competitors to their new products?